THE open declaration by the United
States and Japan in their revised defence pact that
the Taiwan Strait belonged in their joint security
ambit did not take China by surprise, but would surely
sour its relations with both.
The designation of Taiwan as a
Common Strategic Objective (CSO) by both countries,
which potentially puts the island under their defence
umbrella, represented the most significant alteration
since 1996 to the US-Japan Security Alliance forged
in the early 1960s.
The US had long been concerned
about Beijing's threat to use force to prevent
Taiwan from seceding, but until the new defence
pact signed during the ""two-plus-two''
meeting yesterday in Washington, Japan had shown
no desire to side openly with the US.
Although the aim of the meeting
between US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice,
Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and their Japanese
counterparts was to call for Japan to take a greater
role with US forces in the world, their main accent
seemed to be on the Taiwan Strait.
The agreement could help lay the
groundwork for Japan, which is constitutionally
forbidden to take part in war, to extend as much
cooperation as it legally can, including logistical
support such as transportation and medical rescue
operations behind the lines of combat.
Signing on behalf of Japan yesterday
were Japanese Defence Ag ency chief Yoshinori Ono
and Foreign Minister Nobutaka Machimura.
Politicians and analysts in both
countries called the move a demonstration of Japan's
willingness to confront the rapidly growing might
of China.
Said Mr Shinzo Abe, the acting
secretary-general of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic
Party: ""It would be wrong for us to
send a signal to China that the US and Japan will
watch and tolerate China's military invasion of
Taiwan.''
Taiwan appeared much delighted
by the agreement as it had long been promoting
a Washington-Tokyo-Taipei military alliance. It
also construes it as a recognition that the island
enjoys sovereignty and is not subject to the rule
of mainland China.
Taiwanese Vice-President Annette
Lu told reporters yesterday:"" This shows
that Taiwan's sovereignty is receiving international
attention.''
But Beijing did not seem to be
taken aback by the development.
A Chinese source told The Sunday
Times that the move merely confirmed Beijing's
belief that the US and Japan would intervene to
thwart its military bid to prevent Taiwan's secession
should peaceful means fail.
If there is anything surprising,
it is the decision of Washington and Tokyo not
to be ambiguous anymore in their strategic intent
about Taiwan and opt for ""strategic
clarity''.
The source said that China did
not have any illusion at all that the US-Japanese
pact would leave out Taiwan.
When the pact was first drawn
up in the 1960s, an official Japanese source had
already pointed out that its covered ambit
extended from Japan to the Philippines. That certainly included Taiwan,
which lies midway between both. But the Japanese did not admit that.
By being ambiguous, Japan had
been able to avoid irritating China. But it showed
its hand yesterday in the declaration.
""Right from its birth,
the US-Japan mutual defence pact was forged with
an eye on China, though the focus varied with time,''
said the source.
""China had never underestimated
the potential hostility of the pact, whether or
not it was mentioned in it,'' said the source.
So militarily, China is prepared
for the worst scenario. That said, the source admitted
that Beijing was still upset by the
signing.
It showed that its sending of
senior officials to the US and Japan to explain
the anti-secession law aimed at Taiwan had failed
to convince them that it was not an aggression-driven
document.
Beijing suspected that the pact
was timed to pre-empt the law, which would be passed
a few weeks from now.
It could also produce an incipient
form of Washington-Tokyo- Taipei military alliance
longed by Taiwan, and greatly complicate Beijing's
effort to solve the Taiwanese issue peacefully.
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