THE closely watched anti-secession
law to be tabled in China's parliament the National
People's Congress tomorrow will consist of only brief
guidelines.
It will merely codify China's
known policies regarding peaceful unification with
Taiwan. The specifics will be fleshed out only
later this year.
The one-and-a-half-page law contains
a dozen or so articles totalling about 1,000 words.
This generic law focuses on preventing de jure
independence, but will not set any specific target
date for unification with Taiwan.
The Detail Regulations for the
Implementation of the Anti-secession Law will be
drafted and is expected to be adopted
towards the end of the year.
A source told The Straits Times
that besides this law, a National Mobilisation
Law and a State of Emergency Law will also be drafted
in tandem to give the Chinese government the legal
authority to take whatever actions are deemed necessary
to prevent the secession of Taiwan.
Along with China's Constitution
and the National Defence Law, these three legal
instruments form the basis of Beijing's arsenal
in waging a legal war against separatism.
The anti-secession law embodies
the principles laid down in the eight-point cross-strait
policies promulgated by former president Jiang
Zemin and its recent modification by his successor
Hu Jintao.
The law will define the meaning
of secession and specify where to draw the line.
According to the source, the law
will use the phrase"" non-peaceful means''
to replace the current standard way of saying
that China shall not undertake not to use ""force''.
This is because ""non-peaceful
means'' encompass a far wider range of options
available to China, and the use of force is merely
one of them. The law will also spell out the various
scenarios when non-peaceful means will be activated.
The source stressed that by drafting
the anti-secession law, Beijing is telling the
world that it would be prepared to tolerate
the present status quo in which Taiwan enjoys de facto independence for
the time being.
""Therefore, it should
not be read as an attempt to provide legal basis
for seizing Taiwan by force,'' explained the source. ""There
wouldn't be war unless Taiwan declares de jure
independence.''
The source also pointed out that
the wording of the law would not be belligerent.
""Given the recent improvements
in cross-strait relations, especially President
Hu's March 5 statement reassuring Taiwanese that
China would do its best to seek peaceful reunification,
one can expect that warlike language would not
be used.''
According to Mr Yang Yizhou of
the All China Taiwanese Association, work on the
law started as early as 2003, while
research by scholars started far earlier.
While most people preferred a
National Unification Law then, the association
insisted that the time was not ripe for unification,
which might invite foreign intervention.
Their views prevailed.
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