THE ""secret message''
which Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian claimed
China passed to Taipei four years ago reminds people
of a similar episode in the early 1990s when his
predecessor Lee Teng-hui sent secret envoys to Beijing.
Although the background was different,
one fact remains essentially the same: Any Taiwanese
leader wishing to consolidate his grip on power
has to have a conduit for dialogue with Beijing.
Like it or not, this is part of
the geopolitical reality that Taiwan has to face
up to.
On Sunday, President Chen disclosed
that four years ago, when he was elected to the
office, China sent a message to him saying that
it believed people on both sides would be able
to handle the one-China issue well and with mutual
respect.
Mr Chen said he wove this into
his inaugural speech with certain modifications.
He did not offer more details, but according to
a source with knowledge of the almost byzantine
intricacies of cross-strait interaction, his claim
should be credible.
The source recalled that soon
after Mr Chen was elected, influential scholars
and businessmen with good ties to authorities
on both sides had volunteered, out of genuine concern for cross-strait
stability, to help bridge the information gap
separating Beijing and Taipei.
Not just messages from the mainland
were passed on, but also some key points of Mr
Chen's inaugural speech were shown to Beijing to
gauge its reaction.
This had resulted in Beijing showing
a measure of goodwill it would ""hear
his words and watch his action'', it said during
the initial years of Mr Chen's presidency.
The observation period lasted
for three years, an indication that Beijing was
indeed prepared to eschew hostility. But it came
to an end when he announced in the middle of last
year his timetable towards independence.
More than a decade ago, when Mr
Lee came to power, Beijing had also sent goodwill
messages to him, urging him to work towards national
unification.
According to an envoy, Mr Nan
Huaijin, a philosopher highly regarded by both
sides, then Chinese President Yang Shangkun even
persuaded the ruling Kuomintang (KMT) elders not
to reject Mr Lee merely because he was a Taiwanese,
and not a mainlander.
President Yang also expressed
understanding about why Mr Lee could not move towards
unification faster than he would like to, given
the long years of anti-communist indoctrination
by the KMT.
Beijing's faith in him came to
an end when, in 1993, he likened himself to a latter-day
Moses whose mission was to take the
Taiwanese out of China.
In both instances, Beijing's stance
towards a new Taiwanese president was quite consistent.
First, it called upon the newly
elected leader to uphold the"" one China''
principle and strive for unification.
Then it showed a willingness to
give him the benefit of doubt and not reject him
a priori. But in both cases, Messrs Lee and Chen
let Beijing down, which accounts for the great
mistrust now held against them.
President Chen's revelation about
the secret message came at a time when cross-strait
relations were at their lowest, no thanks to his
bid to hold a ""defensive referendum'',
which Beijing saw as setting the precedent for
a future one on independence.
The heightened cross-strait tension
which that move sparked has also led to huge international
pressure on the Taiwanese leader not to rock the
boat by trying to change Taiwan's political status.
All this could jeopardise his
bid to win the presidential election scheduled
for March 20. Given this backdrop, President Chen
probably had two objectives in mind when he made
the disclosure.
First, he wanted to show that
he had responded to China's wish and that blame
for the present impasse ought to be placed at Beijing's
door.
Second, by signalling that he
had a communication channel open to Beijing, he
hoped to dispel fear that he lacked the necessary
means to handle the delicate task of keeping up
a dialogue with China.
It seems ironic that both Messrs
Lee and Chen, who want so eagerly to break away
from China, had to show off the olive branches
that Beijing offered them to bolster their own
political position.
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